Tropical Storm EMILY Advisory вт, 01.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062017
2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ORLANDO FL     34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 16   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

PATRICK AFB    34 16   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

FT PIERCE FL   34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

W PALM BEACH   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART