Tropical Storm CARLOS Advisory Вс, 14.06.

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
2100 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   1(15)
MAZATLAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
MAZATLAN       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)  10(31)   X(31)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
SAN BLAS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  28(33)   8(41)   1(42)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)
P VALLARTA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)  34(52)   5(57)   X(57)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)   3(24)   X(24)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)   X(12)

MANZANILLO     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)  16(23)  32(55)   5(60)   X(60)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  17(21)   2(23)   X(23)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

L CARDENAS     34  2  17(19)  38(57)  14(71)   7(78)   X(78)   X(78)
L CARDENAS     50  X   2( 2)  16(18)  15(33)   6(39)   X(39)   X(39)
L CARDENAS     64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   3(19)   1(20)   X(20)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  2  37(39)  29(68)   7(75)   3(78)   X(78)   X(78)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   6( 6)  22(28)   8(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
ZIHUATANEJO    64  X   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)

ACAPULCO       34 33  27(60)   5(65)   2(67)   2(69)   X(69)   X(69)
ACAPULCO       50  2  12(14)   3(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
ACAPULCO       64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

P MALDONADO    34  8   8(16)   4(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)

P ANGEL        34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HUATULCO       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  12(30)   1(31)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
FORECASTER BLAKE